Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.005420 0.006011 0.006652 0.007401 0.008254 0.009198 0.010328
2025-06-29 0.004385 0.005176 0.006101 0.007272 0.008726 0.010488 0.012809
2025-07-06 0.003782 0.004646 0.005707 0.007123 0.008989 0.011395 0.014793
2025-07-13 0.003406 0.004320 0.005487 0.007115 0.009366 0.012429 0.017023
2025-07-20 0.003181 0.004148 0.005429 0.007285 0.009967 0.013801 0.019889
2025-07-27 0.002922 0.003898 0.005230 0.007223 0.010213 0.014675 0.022120
2025-08-03 0.002723 0.003709 0.005089 0.007219 0.010527 0.015664 0.024657
2025-08-10 0.002531 0.003510 0.004913 0.007136 0.010699 0.016437 0.026933
2025-08-17 0.002397 0.003383 0.004828 0.007177 0.011062 0.017548 0.029958
2025-08-24 0.002247 0.003221 0.004675 0.007093 0.011202 0.018291 0.032415
2025-08-31 0.002083 0.003024 0.004453 0.006875 0.011090 0.018569 0.034013
2025-09-07 0.001981 0.002916 0.004359 0.006859 0.011321 0.019487 0.037032
2025-09-14 0.001929 0.002886 0.004396 0.007078 0.012019 0.021415 0.042641
2025-09-21 0.001810 0.002742 0.004238 0.006948 0.012066 0.022101 0.045705
2025-09-28 0.001701 0.002607 0.004083 0.006808 0.012074 0.022703 0.048694
2025-10-05 0.001625 0.002522 0.004006 0.006800 0.012337 0.023867 0.053289
2025-10-12 0.001584 0.002491 0.004020 0.006961 0.012952 0.025877 0.060508
2025-10-19 0.001511 0.002401 0.003923 0.006902 0.013107 0.026884 0.065305
2025-10-26 0.001452 0.002332 0.003858 0.006898 0.013376 0.028191 0.071275
2025-11-02 0.001386 0.002248 0.003760 0.006820 0.013474 0.029100 0.076312
2025-11-09 0.001342 0.002199 0.003722 0.006859 0.013835 0.030715 0.083982
2025-11-16 0.001285 0.002123 0.003630 0.006779 0.013917 0.031629 0.089657
2025-11-23 0.001215 0.002021 0.003484 0.006573 0.013682 0.031682 0.092449